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General Articles

Predator Empire: The Geopolitics of US Drone Warfare

Pages 536-559 | Published online: 14 Jun 2013
 

Abstract

This paper critically assesses the CIA's drone programme and proposes that the use of unmanned aerial vehicles is driving an increasingly “dronified” US national security strategy. The paper suggests that large-scale ground wars are being eclipsed by fleets of weaponised drones capable of targeted killings across the planet. Evidence for this shift is found in key security documents that mobilise an amorphous conflict against vaguely defined al-Qa'ida “affiliates”. This process is legitimised through the White House's presentation of drone warfare as a bureaucratic conflict managed by a “disposition matrix”. These official narratives are challenged by the voices of people living in the tribal areas of Pakistan. What I term the Predator Empire names the biopolitical power that digitises, catalogues, and eliminates threatening “patterns of life” across a widening battlespace. This permanent war is enabled by a topological spatial power that folds the distant environments of the affiliate into the surveillance machinery of the Homeland.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

I would like to thank Simon Dalby and the reviewers that commented on earlier drafts of this paper.

Notes

1. G. Miller, ‘Plan for Hunting Terrorists Signals U.S. Intends to Keep Adding Names to Kill Lists’, The Washington Post, 2012, available at <http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/plan-for-hunting-terrorists-signals-us-intends-to-keep-adding-names-to-kill-lists/2012/10/23/4789b2ae-18b3-11e2-a55c-39408fbe6a4b_story.html>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

2. M. Indyk, quoted in J. Meyer, ‘The Predator War’, The New Yorker, 2009, available at <http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/10/26/091026fa_fact_mayer>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

3. Miller, ‘Plan for Hunting’ (note 1).

4. I. G. R. Shaw, ‘From Baseworld to Droneworld’, Antipode (2012), available at <http://antipodefoundation.org/2012/08/14/intervention-from-baseworld-to-droneworld/>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

5. O. Burkeman, ‘Obama Administration Says Goodbye to ‘War on Terror’’, The Guardian, 2009, available at <http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/mar/25/obama-war-terror-overseas-contingency-operations>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

6. D. Gregory, ‘The Everywhere War’, The Geographical Journal 177/3 (2011) pp. 238–250.

7. ‘US to cut almost 100,000 troops’, BBC News, 2012, available at <http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-16751973>, accessed 26 Jan. 2012.

8. Ibid.

9. U.S. Air Force, ‘MQ-1B Predator’ (2012), available at <http://www.af.mil/information/factsheets/factsheet.asp?id=122>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

10. N. Turse and T. Engelhardt, Terminator Planet: The First History of Drone Warfare, 2001–2050 (New York: Dispatch Books 2012).

11. S. Graham, ‘Vertical Geopolitics: Baghdad and After’, Antipode 36/1 (2004) p. 18.

12. J. Sifton, ‘A Brief History of Drones’, The Nation, 2012, available at <http://www.thenation.com/article/166124/brief-history-drones>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

13. For more on the history of US drones, and the CIA's development of the Predator drone in particular, see I. G. R. Shaw, ‘The Rise of the Predator Drone’ (2012), available at <http://understandingempire.wordpress.com/2012/10/28/essay-the-historical-rise-of-the-predator-drone-2/>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

14. S. Coll, Ghost Wars: The Secret History of the CIA, Afghanistan and Bin Laden, from the Soviet Invasion to September 10, 2001 (London: Penguin Books 2004).

15. Death counts, even in declared wars, are impossible to verify accurately. In undeclared ones such as the CIA's drone campaign, accurate death counts are even more difficult. The most reliable website for tracking drone strikes and deaths is The Bureau of Investigative Journalism at <http://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/category/projects/drones/>.

16. The debate surrounding whether or not the CIA's programme of targeted killings is legal is enormous, and one that I do not pursue in great detail in this paper. See Stanford Law School and NYU School of Law (note 33), chapter 4.

17. G. Miller, ‘CIA Seeks to Expand Drone fleet, Officials Say’, The Washington Post, 2012, available at <http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/cia-seeks-to-expand-drone-fleet-officials-say/2012/10/18/01149a8c-1949-11e2-bd10-5ff056538b7c_story.html?tid=pm_pop>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

18. G. Grandin, Empire's Workshop: Latin America, the United States, and the Rise of the New Imperialism (New York: Metropolitan Books 2006).

19. See T. Paglen, ‘Goatsucker: Toward a Spatial Theory of State Secrecy’, Environment and Planning D: Society and Space 28/5 (2010) pp. 759–771.

20. There are many instances of this. For example the coordination between the CIA and the military's Joint Special Operations Command (JSOC) in Yemen. Symbolically, consider also the appointment of Gen. David Petreaus as head of the CIA.

21. Council on Foreign Relations, ‘Targeted Killings’ (2012), available at <http://www.cfr.org/intelligence/targeted-killings/p9627>, accessed 26 July 2011.

22. P. Alston, ‘Report of the Special Rapporteur on Extrajudicial, Summary or Arbitrary Executions’, UN General Assembly, Human Rights Council (2010), available at <http://www2.ohchr.org/english/bodies/hrcouncil/docs/14session/A.HRC.14.24.Add6.pdf>, accessed 9 Feb. 2012.

23. ‘Obama confirms US drone strikes in Pakistan’, Associated Foreign Press, 2012, available at <http://www.dawn.com/2012/01/31/obama-confirms-us-drone-strikes-in-pakistan.html>, accessed 9 Feb. 2012.

24. P. Yost, ‘Judge Dumps Suit for Info on Use of Drones to Kill’, Associated Press, 2011, available at <http://news.yahoo.com/judge-dumps-suit-drones-kill-223226133.html>, accessed 20 Jan. 2012.

25. I. G. R. Shaw, ‘Legal Issues’ (2012), available <http://understandingempire.wordpress.com/4-0-legal-issues/>, accessed 1 Nov. 2012.

26. I refer here to D. Kennedy, Of Law and War (Princeton: Princeton University Press 2006). See also J. Morrissey, ‘Liberal Lawfare and Biopolitics: US Juridical Warfare in the War on Terror’, Geopolitics 16/2 (2010) pp. 280–305.

27. American Civil Liberties Union, ‘ACLU Lens: American Citizen Anwar Al-Aulaqi Killed Without Judicial Process’ (2011), available at <http://www.aclu.org/blog/national-security/aclu-lens-american-citizen-anwar-al-aulaqi-killed-without-judicial-process>, accessed 20 Jan. 2012.

28. National Security Strategy 2010, released by the White House on 27 May 2010, available at <http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/rss_viewer/national_security_strategy.pdf>, accessed 9 Feb. 2012.

29. National Strategy for Counterterrorism 2011, released by the White House on 28 June 2011, available at <http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/counterterrorism_strategy.pdf>, accessed 9 Feb. 2012.

30. M. Dillon, ‘Governing Terror: The State of Emergency of Biopolitical Emergence’, International Political Sociology 1/1 (2007) p. 10.

31. Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense, released by the White House on 3 Jan. 2012, available at <http://www.defense.gov/news/Defense_Strategic_Guidance.pdf>, accessed 9 Feb. 2012.

32. C. Rogers, Civilian Harm and Conflict in Northwest Pakistan (Washington, DC: CIVIC 2010) p. 22, available at <http://www.civicworldwide.org/storage/civicdev/documents/civic%20pakistan%202010%20final.pdf>, accessed 27 July 2011.

33. International Human Rights and Conflict Resolution Clinic (Stanford Law School) and Global Justice Clinic (NYU School of Law), ‘Living Under Drones: Death, Injury, and Trauma to Civilians from US Drone Practices in Pakistan’ (2012), available at <http://livingunderdrones.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/Stanford_NYU_LIVING_UNDER_DRONES.pdf>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

34. A. J. Bacevich, Washington Rules (New York: Metropolitan Books 2010).

35. M. Foucault, ‘Society Must Be Defended’: Lectures at the College de France, 1975–1976 (New York: Picador 2003).

36. Shaw, ‘Baseworld’ (note 4).

37. M. Müller, ‘Reconsidering the Concept of Discourse for the Field of Critical Geopolitics: Towards Discourse as Language and Practice’, Political Geography 27/3 (2008) pp. 322–338.

38. L. Bialasiewicz, D. Campbell, S. Elden, S. Graham, and A. J. Williams, ‘Performing Security: The Imaginative Geographies of Current US Strategy’, Political Geography 26/4 (2007) pp. 405–422. See also S. Roberts, A. Secor, and M. Sparke, ‘Neoliberal Geopolitics’, Antipode 35/5 (2003) pp. 886–897.

39. National Security Strategy (note 28) p. 14.

40. National Strategy for Counterterrorism (note 29) p. 3.

41. Ibid., p. 3

42. Gregory, ‘Everywhere War’ (note 6).

43. The White House, Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership (note 31).

44. Ibid., p. 6. Italics in original.

45. Ibid., foreword by President Barack Obama.

46. Quoted in E. Pilkington, ‘Barack Obama Sets Out Plans for Leaner Military in Historic Strategy Shift, The Guardian, 2012, available at <http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jan/05/barack-obama-plans-leaner-military>, accessed 20 Jan. 2012.

47. K. DeYoung, ‘A CIA Veteran Transforms U.S. Counterterrorism Policy’, The Washington Post, 2012, available at <http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/cia-veteran-john-brennan-has-transformed-us-counterterrorism-policy/2012/10/24/318b8eec-1c7c-11e2-ad90-ba5920e56eb3_story.html>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

48. The video of John Brennan's speech can be found online at <http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/AdministrationCo>, accessed 26 July 2008.

49. The Bureau of Investigative Journalism, ‘US Claims of ‘No Civilian Deaths’ are Untrue’ (2011), available at <http://thebureauinvestigates.com/2011/07/18/washingtons-untrue-claims-no-civilian-deaths-in-pakistan-drone-strikes/>, accessed 27 July 2011.

50. J. Becker and S. Shane, ‘Secret ‘Kill List’ Proves a Test of Obama's Principles and Will’, The New York Times, 29 May 2012, available at <http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/29/world/obamas-leadership-in-war-on-al-qaeda.html?pagewanted=1&_r=0>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

51. D. Gregory, ‘War and Peace’, Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers 35 (2010) p. 174.

52. I am here referring to the Predator's frequent crashes. See N. Turse, ‘The Crash and Burn Future of Robot Warfare’, TomDispatch, 2012, available at <http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/175489/tomgram%3A_nick_turse%2C_drone_disasters_/#more>, accessed 9 Feb. 2012.

53. It is important to consider the US drone strikes along with the damage regional militant groups and even the Pakistani state has caused to civilians in FATA.

54. Rogers (note 32).

55. Stanford Law School and NYU School of Law (note 33).

56. C. Woods and C. Lamb, ‘Obama Terror Drones: CIA Tactics in Pakistan Include Targeting Rescuers and Funerals’ (2012), available at <http://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/2012/02/04/obama-terror-drones-cia-tactics-in-pakistan-include-targeting-rescuers-and-funerals/>, accessed 1 Nov. 2012.

57. Stanford Law School and NYU School of Law (note 33) pp. 75–76.

58. Ibid., p. vii.

59. Rogers (note 32) p. 60.

60. Ibid., p. 61.

61. Ibid., p. 61.

62. Stanford Law School and NYU School of Law (note 33) p. 98.

63. ‘Washington Post-ABC News Poll’ (2012), available at <http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_020412.html>, accessed 16 Feb. 2012.

64. G. O'Tuathail, ‘An Anti-Geopolitical Eye: Maggie O'Kane in Bosnia, 1992–93’, Gender, Place and Culture: A Journal of Feminist Geography 3/2 (1996) p. 173.

65. J. Sharp, ‘A Subaltern Critical Geopolitics of the War on Terror: Postcolonial Security in Tanzania’, Geoforum 42/3 (2011) pp. 297–305.

66. DeYoung (note 47).

67. ‘Title 10’ of the United States Code establishes the role of the armed forces in the United States Code.

68. Congressional Research Service, Special Operations Forces (SOF) and CIA Paramilitary Operations: Issues for Congress (2006).

69. Kinetic operations refer to physical activity that engages belligerents in a battlespace (as opposed to, in this case, passive forms of intelligence gathering). G. Miller and J. Tate, ‘CIA Shifts Focus to Killing Targets’, The Washington Post, 2011, available at <http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/cia-shifts-focus-to-killing-targets/2011/08/30/gIQA7MZGvJ_print.html>, accessed 21 Jan. 2012.

70. M. Dillon and J. Reid, ‘Global Liberal Governance: Biopolitics, Security and War’, Millennium – Journal of International Studies 30/1 (2001) pp. 41–66.

71. T. Mcelvey, ‘Inside the Killing Machine’, Newsweek, 2011, available at <http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/02/13/inside-the-killing-machine.html>, accessed 21 Jan. 2012.

72. ‘Initially, the CIA was skeptical of the value of expending resources on lower-level operatives through signature strikes, a former senior intelligence official said. Military officials, however, favored the idea. The debate eventually would lead to the CIA and the military reversing their initial positions’, in A. Entous, S. Gorman, and J. E. Barnes,‘ U.S. Tightens Drone Rules’, The Wall Street Journal, 2011, available at <http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204621904577013982672973836.html>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

73. D. E. Sanger, The Inheritance: A New President Confronts the World (London: Bantham Press 2009) p. 236.

74. New America Foundation, ‘The Year of the Drone’ (2012), available at <http://counterterrorism.newamerica.net/drones>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012. Casualty figures and strike numbers are constantly changing, and updates to this website's statistics and those of The Bureau of Investigative Journalism’s are frequent. Please refer to them for up-to-date information.

75. Stanford Law School and NYU School of Law (note 33) pp. 57–58.

76. Entous et al. (note 72).

77. Becker and Shane, ‘Secret “Kill List”’ (note 50).

78. Gregory, ‘War and Peace’ (note 51) p. 173.

79. K. Schlosser, ‘Bio-Political Geographies’, Geography Compass 2/5 (2008) pp. 1621–1634.

80. Foucault, ‘Society’ (note 35).

81. C. Philo. ‘A ‘New Foucault’ with Lively Implications – or ‘The Crawfish Advances Sideways’’, Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers 37/4 (2012) p. 505.

82. Foucault, ‘Society’ (note 35) p. 240.

83. Ibid., p. 240.

84. Ibid., p. 241.

85. Ibid., p. 249.

86. Ibid., p. 249.

87. Ibid., p. 240.

88. Dillon and Reid (note 70).

89. M. Dillon and L. Lobo-Guerrero, ‘Biopolitics of Security in the 21st Century: An Introduction’, Review of International Studies 34 (2008) p. 267.

90. Ibid., p. 267.

91. B. Braun, ‘Biopower and the Molecularization of Life’, Cultural Geographies 14/6 (2007) p. 19.

92. New America Foundation, ‘The Year of the Drone: Key Observations’ (2012), available at <http://counterterrorism.newamerica.net/drones/observations>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

93. Quoted in O. Boycott, ‘Drone Strikes Threaten 50 years of International Law, Says UN Rapporteur’, The Guardian, 2012, available at <http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jun/21/drone-strikes-international-law-un>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

94. Dillon (note 30) p. 18.

95. Ibid., p. 24.

96. Dillon and Lobo-Guerrero (note 89).

97. B. Anderson, ‘Population and Affective Perception: Biopolitics and Anticipatory Action in US Counterinsurgency Doctrine’, Antipode 43/2 (2010) pp. 205–236.

98. N. Turse, ‘Empire of Bases 2.0’, TomDispatch, 2011, available at <http://www.tomdispatch.com/archive/175338/nick_turse_empire_of_bases_2.0>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

99. C. Johnson, ‘America's Empire of Bases’, TomDispatch, 2004, available at <http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/1181/chalmers_johnson_america%27s_empire_of_bases>, accessed 21 Oct. 2012.

100. Foucault, ‘Society’ (note 35) p. 240.

101. N. Turse, ‘America's Secret Empire of Drone Bases’, TomDispatch, 2011, available at <http://www.tomdispatch.com/archive/175454/>, accessed 22 Jan. 2012.

102. C. Whitlock, ‘Remote U.S. Base at Core of Secret Operations’, The Washington Post, 2012, available at <http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/remote-us-base-at-core-of-secret-operations/2012/10/25/a26a9392-197a-11e2-bd10-5ff056538b7c_story.html>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

103. D. Axe, ‘U.S. Expands Secretive Drone Base for African Shadow War’, Danger Room, 2012, available at <http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2012/10/secret-drone-base/>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

104. Whitlock (note 102).

105. M. Foucault, Security, Population, Territory: Lectures at the College De France 1977–1978 (London Macmillian 2007).

106. Not an unproblematic shift, as Stuart Elden writes: ‘Foucault's notion of the politics of calculation is therefore crucial, but not as something which only manifests itself in population, but, rather, in territory too. The same kinds of mechanisms can be found in both, at root grounded in the relation between governmentality and calculation’. S. Elden, ‘Governmentality, Calculation, Territory’, Environment and Planning D: Society and Space 25 (2007) pp. 562–580.

107. Foucault, ‘Society’ (note 35) p. 24.

108. P. Sloterdijk, ‘Airquakes’, Environment and Planning D: Society and Space 27(2009) pp. 41–57.

109. A. J. Williams, ‘A Crisis in Aerial Sovereignty? Considering the Implication of Recent Military Violations of National Airspace’, Area 42/1 (2010) pp. 51–59.

110. R. Ek, ‘Giorgio Agamben and the Spatialities of the Camp: An Introduction’, Geografiska Annaler: Series B, Human Geography 88(2006) pp. 363–386.

111. J. Allen, ‘Topological Twists: Power's Shifting Geographies’, Dialogues in Human Geography 1/3 (2011) pp. 283–298.

112. P. Adey, ‘Aeromobilities: Geographies, Subjects and Vision’, Geography Compass 2/5 (2008) pp. 1318–1336.

113. Foucault (note 35) p. 249.

114. Ibid., p. 254. My emphasis.

115. Ibid., p. 256.

116. R. Mohammad and J. D. Sidaway, ‘Stalingrad in the Hindu Kush? AFPAK, Crucibles and Chains of Terror’, Antipode 43/2 (2010) pp. 199–204.

117. I. G. R. Shaw and M. Akhter, ‘The Unbearable Humanness of Drone Warfare in FATA, Pakistan’, Antipode44/4 (2012) pp. 1490–1509.

118. J. Sidaway, ‘‘One Island, One Team, One Mission’: Geopolitics, Sovereignty, ‘Race’ and Rendition’, Geopolitics 15/4 (2010) pp. 667–683.

119. Gregory, ‘Everywhere War’ (note 6).

120. D. Grondin, ‘The Other Spaces of War: War Beyond the Battlefield in the War on Terror’, Geopolitics 16/2 (2011) pp. 253–279.

121. R. Jones, ‘Border Security, 9/11 and the Enclosure of Civilisation’, The Geographical Journal 177/3 (2011) pp. 213–217; M. Coleman and A. Kocher, ‘Detention, Deportation, Devolution and Immigrant Incapacitation in the US, Post 9/11’, The Geographical Journal 177/3 (2011) pp. 228–237.

122. L. Amoore, ‘Biometric Borders: Governing Mobilities in the War on Terror’, Political Geography 25/3 (2006) pp. 336–351.

123. W. J. Astore, ‘Fighting 1% Wars’, TomDispatch, 2011, available at <http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/175477/tomgram%3A_william_astore%2C_the_remoteness_of_1%25_wars/#more>, accessed 22 Jan. 2012.

124. P. Singer, Wired for War (New York: Penguin Press 2009).

125. P. Singer, ‘Do Drones Undermine Democracy?’, New York Times, 2012, available at <http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/22/opinion/sunday/do-drones-undermine-democracy.html?pagewanted=1&_r=2&nl=todaysheadlines&emc=thab1>, accessed 9 Feb. 2012. (Emphasis added).

126. S. Smithson, ‘Drones Over U.S. Get OK by Congress’, The Washington Times, 2012, available at <http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/feb/7/coming-to-a-sky-near-you/>, accessed 31 Oct. 2012.

127. A recent Pew poll found 97% of Pakistani respondents viewed drone strikes negatively. In D. Walsh, ‘Pakistan Orders US out of Drone Base’, The Guardian, 2011, <http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jun/30/pakistan-orders-us-out-drone-base>, accessed 22 Jan. 2012.

128. See N. Turse, ‘The Crash and Burn Future of Robot Warfare’, TomDispatch, 2012, available at <http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/175489/tomgram%3A_nick_turse%2C_drone_disasters_/#more>, accessed 22 Jan. 2012.

129. Miller, ‘Plan for Hunting’ (note 1).

130. See S. Elden, Terror and Territory: The Spatial Extent of Sovereignty (Minneapolis: Minnesota University Press 2009).

131. Stanford Law School and NYU School of Law (note 33) pp. 103–124.

132. Gregory, ‘War and Peace’ (note 51).

133. Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership (note 31).

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